Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (5.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.