Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.14% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.