Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.