Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aalesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.