Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.