Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.97% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.