Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.74% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%) , while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.