Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aalesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.