Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (5.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.