Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.63% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%) , while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.