Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Molde had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Molde win was 0-1 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.