Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Start win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Molde had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Start win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.