Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.