Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest HamKam win was 2-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.