Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest HamKam win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.