Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 8
May 9, 2026 1.00pm
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
Lillestrom 4 - 0 Sarpsborg
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Sander Christiansen

Fredrikstad

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
May 2, 2026 5.00pm
Brann 3 - 1 Fredrikstad
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Rocco Shein

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Fredrikstad has a probability of 34.28% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win is 0-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12%).

Result

Sarpsborg 08 40.12% (-0.11)
Draw 25.6% (+0.07)
Fredrikstad 34.28% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.89% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.07% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.93% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.2% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 69.8% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 16.83% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.17% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Sarpsborg 08 34.02% (+0.09)
Draw 40.03% (-0.04)
Fredrikstad 25.96% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Sarpsborg 08 49.72% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.34%
Fredrikstad 43.94% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.5% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.91% (-0.04)
Under 8 24.59% (+0.04)
Over 9 52.76% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.04)
Under 9 35.5% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 41.23% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 58.77% (-0.09)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 1.5 40.74%
Under 1.5 59.26%
Over 2.5 17.18%
Under 2.5 82.82%
Over 3.5 5.86% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.14% (-0.02)

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5 69.23% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 30.77% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 35.98% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 64.02% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 14.34% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.66% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.52% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.48% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Sarpsborg 08 40.14%
Draw 25.59%
Fredrikstad 34.29%
Sarpsborg 08
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 5.62% (+0.01)
Total : 40.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.72% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.01)
Total : 25.59%
Fredrikstad
0-1 @ 8.33%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.44%
Other @ 4.28% (+0.03)
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
Nov 8, 2025 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 9
Jun 1, 2025 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
  • Rocco Robert Shein 21' yellowcard
  • Oskar Ohlenschlaeger 45' yellowcard
  • Sondre Sorlokk 79' goal
  • Andreas Hagen 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Menno Koch 72'
  • goal Daniel Karlsbakk 90'+11'
  • yellowcard Daniel Karlsbakk 90'+11'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 24
Sep 28, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Peter Reinhardsen 44' yellowcard
  • Sondre Orjasaeter 54' yellowcard
  • Menno Koch 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Henrik Skogvold 48'
  • yellowcard Daniel Eid 80'
  • yellowcard Simen Rafn 83'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
  • Sigurd Kvile 50' goal
  • Sigurd Kvile 72' yellowcard
  • Mads Nielsen 73' yellowcard
  • Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen 90'+2' goal
  • goal Jo Inge Berget 6'
  • goal Tebo Franklin 74'
  • yellowcard Jeppe Andersen 78'
  • yellowcard Rafik Zekhnini 90'+1'