/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
-
Sergio Gomez
57'
-
Kalvin Phillips
76'
-
Ruben Dias
85'
-
Cesar Azpilicueta
15'
-
Memphis Depay
66'
-
Yannick Carrasco
74'
-
Caglar Soyuncu
87'
Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F30%2Fatletico-madrid_1.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F22%2Fkevin-de-bruyne-jack-grealish.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F30%2Fmanchester-city.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F23%2Fkevin-de-bruyne.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result
Manchester City
41.93%
▲
(+3.17)
Draw
25.26%
▼
(-0.81)
Atletico Madrid
32.81%
▼
(-2.36)
Both Teams to Score:
56.09%
▲
(+2.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.51%
▲
(+3.06)
Under 2.5
47.49%
▼
(-3.06)
Over 3.5
30.3%
▲
(+2.77)
Under 3.5
69.7%
▼
(-2.77)
Over 4.5
14.88%
▲
(+1.88)
Under 4.5
85.12%
▼
(-1.88)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
77.44%
▲
(+2.99)
Under 0.5
22.56%
▼
(-2.99)
Over 1.5
43.85%
▲
(+4.26)
Under 1.5
56.15%
▼
(-4.25)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
72.43%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
27.57%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
36.9%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
63.1%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Manchester City
41.93%
Draw
25.25%
Atletico Madrid
32.81%
Manchester City
1-0
@
9.26%
▼
(-0.36)
2-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.44)
2-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.57)
3-0 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.44)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.37)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.33)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.26)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-83.45)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 41.93%
2-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.44)
2-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.57)
3-0 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.44)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.37)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.33)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.26)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-83.45)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 41.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.93%
▼
(-0.46)
0-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.83)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.25%
0-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.83)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.25%
Atletico Madrid
0-1
@
8.01%
▼
(-1.07)
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.68)
1-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.30)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 32.81%
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.68)
1-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.30)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 32.81%
