Copa Libertadores
Sep 18, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Lucas Paquetá 53' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 55' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 65' redcard
  • Erick Pulgar 80' yellowcard
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 83' goal
  • Nicolás de la Cruz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Djorkaeff Reasco 31'
  • yellowcard Mateo Carabajal 58'

Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 1.30am
Independiente 0 - 2 Flamengo

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 1.30am
Independiente 0 - 2 Flamengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.79% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%) , while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 61.25% ▲ (+0.23)
Draw 22.79% ▼ (-1.22)
Independiente del Valle 15.99% ▲ (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.34% ▲ (+1.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.14% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 1.5 26.86% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 2.5 48.55% ▲ (+2.00)
Under 2.5 51.45% ▼ (-2.00)
Over 3.5 27.11% ▲ (+1.58)
Under 3.5 72.89% ▼ (-1.58)
Over 4.5 16.74% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 4.5 83.26% ▼ (-1.02)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 36.95% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 43.95% ▲ (+1.03)
Independiente del Valle 19.11% ▼ (-1.25)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 60.75% ▲ (+0.86)
No Goal 7.75% ▼ (-0.49)
Independiente del Valle 31.5% ▼ (-0.38)

Corners

Over 8 55.96% ▲ (+0.76)
Equal 8 10.92% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 8 33.12% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 9 44.98% ▲ (+1.08)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 9 44.04% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 10.5 34.8% ▲ (+1.28)
Under 10.5 65.2% ▼ (-1.29)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 53.55% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 1.5 46.45% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 2.5 27.13% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 2.5 72.87% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 3.5 11.14% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 88.86% ▼ (-0.49)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 48.33% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 0.5 51.67% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 1.5 18.09% ▲ (+1.27)
Under 1.5 81.91% ▼ (-1.27)
Over 2.5 5.04% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 2.5 94.96% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 3.5 1.43% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 98.57% ▼ (-0.29)

Score analysis

Flamengo 61.26%
Draw 22.8%
Independiente del Valle 15.98%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 13.66% ▼ (-0.42)
2-0 @ 12.04% ▼ (-0.49)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.27)
3-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.33)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 10.95% ▲ (+0.49)
Total : 61.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.71)
0-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.49)
2-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.8%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.29)
Total : 15.98%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Sep 11, 2026 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Olimpico Atahualpa
  • Mateo Carabajal 57' yellowcard
  • Edwin Josué Quintero Preciado 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 50'
  • goal Bruno Henrique  61'
  • goal Léo Pereira 75'
CONMEBOL Recopa
Mar 1, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 90'+6' goal
CONMEBOL Recopa
Feb 22, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateo Carabajal 69' goal
Copa Libertadores
Oct 1, 2020 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lincoln 26' goal
  • Pedro 30' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 51' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 72' goal
  • Gabriel Rodriques Noga 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Noga 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Torres 22'
  • yellowcard Fernando Guerrero 74'
  • yellowcard Pablo Andres Alvarado 89'
  • yellowcard Pablo Alvarado 89'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 18, 2020 1.00am
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Moises Caicedo 41' goal
  • Angelo Preciado 49' goal
  • Angelo Preciado 52' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Torres 58' goal
  • Jhon Jairo Sanchez Enriquez 81' goal
  • Jhon Sanchez 81' goal
  • Beder Caicedo 89' yellowcard
  • Beder Caicedo 90'+2' goal
  • Beder Caicedo 90'+2' goal
  • Angelo Preciado 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Willian Arao 64'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 90'
CONMEBOL Recopa
Feb 27, 2020 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio João Francisco dos Santos
  • Gerson 15' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 19' goal
  • Willian Arao 23' redcard
  • Gerson 62' goal
  • Gustavo Henrique 88' yellowcard
  • Gerson 89' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 79'
  • redcard Alejandro Cabeza 86'