Copa Libertadores
Aug 20, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 35' goal
  • Samuel Lino 62' goal
  • Bruno Henrique  90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Romero 51'
  • yellowcard William 70'
  • yellowcard João Costa 90'+4'

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Flamengo

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Flamengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 57.24% (+0.89)
Draw 23.7% (-0.65)
Cruzeiro 19.06% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.77% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.69% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 26.31% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 49.16% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 50.84% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 27% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 73% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.88% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 84.12% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 43.71% (+0.62)
Draw 39.6% (-0.34)
Cruzeiro 16.7% (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 63.87% (+1.68)
No Goal 7.42% (-0.21)
Cruzeiro 28.71% (-1.47)

Corners

Over 8 53.59% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 35.16% (+0.30)
Over 9 42.47% (-0.28)
Equal 9 11.11% (-0.04)
Under 9 46.41% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 32.35% (-0.23)
Under 10.5 67.65% (+0.24)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 50.97% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 49.03% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 24.61% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 75.39% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 9.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.51% (-0.01)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 53.64% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 46.36% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 21.09% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 78.91% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 6% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 94% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 1.34% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 98.66% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Flamengo 57.24%
Draw 23.7%
Cruzeiro 19.06%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 12.76% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 10.68% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.01% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 6.04% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.31% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.17)
Other @ 9.46% (+0.11)
Total : 57.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.09)
Total : 23.7%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 4.99% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.31% (-0.06)
Total : 19.06%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Aug 13, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Matheus Henrique 11' yellowcard
  • Keny Arroyo 53' goal
  • Fabrício Bruno 66' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giorgian de Arrascaeta 30'
  • goal Lucas Paquetá 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Pedro 5' goal
  • Samuel Lino 65' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 74' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Varela 74' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 89' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 89' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco da Costa 60'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 62'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 76'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 78'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 86'
  • yellowcard Japa 86'
Brasileiro
Oct 3, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 15' goal
  • Lucas Romero 39' yellowcard
  • Christian 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 74'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 7, 2024 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 87'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 17' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 22' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 26'
  • goal Matheus Pereira 38'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 64'
  • yellowcard William 90'+6'