UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Helsingin olympiastadion

Finland
1 - 2
Rep. Ireland

Pohjanpalo (17', 17')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Scales (57'), Brady (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Finland and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: England 2-0 Finland
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Finland	Draw	Republic of Ireland
54.02% ( 1.76)	24.4% ( -0.31)	21.58% ( -1.44)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.47% (

-0.21)

51.53% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.67% (

-0.19)

73.32% (

0.19)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

0.61)

19% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44% (

50.56% (

-1)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4% (

-1.52)

38.6% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66% (

-1.47)

75.34% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

Finland 54%

Republic of Ireland 21.58%

Draw 24.4%

Finland	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 54%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.58%