Club Friendlies 3
Jul 17, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Schützenwiese
  • 57' goal
  • goal 60'

FC Winterthur vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 5.30pm
Winterthur 1 - 1 Bruhl

Union Berlin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 12, 2026 3.00pm
Carl Zeiss 2 - 0 Union Berlin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

FC Winterthur 29.88% (-0.09)
Draw 25.01% (-0.02)
Union Berlin 45.11% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.95% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.08%
Under 1.5 21.92%
Over 2.5 55.26%
Under 2.5 44.74%
Over 3.5 32.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 67.04% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.54%
Under 4.5 80.46%

First Half Winner

FC Winterthur 27.7% (-0.06)
Draw 36.71% (+0.03)
Union Berlin 35.59% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

FC Winterthur 39.95% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.4% (+0.02)
Union Berlin 53.65%

Corners

Over 8 63.22% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.01% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.76% (+0.17)
Over 9 51.49% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 36.78% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 40.06% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 59.94% (+0.15)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 1.5 33.48% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.52% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.87% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.13% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.08% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.92% (+0.02)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 76.2% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 23.8% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 46.18% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 53.82% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 22.07% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 77.93% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 8.74% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.26% (-0.01)

Score analysis

FC Winterthur 29.89%
Draw 25.02%
Union Berlin 45.11%
FC Winterthur
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.91% (-0.03)
Total : 29.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.4% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
Union Berlin
1-2 @ 8.91% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.68% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.93% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.23% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.57% (+0.01)
Total : 45.11%