Conference League Gameweek 3
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
1
6
HT : 1 1
FT MCH Arena
  • Friday Etim 28' goal
  • Kjell Wätjen 35' yellowcard
  • Kjell Wätjen 43' redcard
  • Denil Castillo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tolu Arokodare 9'
  • goal Tolu Arokodare 52'
  • goal Owen Wijndal 59'
  • goal Davy Klaassen 67'
  • goal Oscar Gloukh 74'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 82'

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions

Ajax

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%).

Result

FC Midtjylland 31.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Ajax 45.7% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.34% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 16.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 63.6% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 36.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 41.23% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 58.77% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 25.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 74.15% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

FC Midtjylland 28.88%
Draw 36.21%
Ajax 34.9%

Team To Score First

FC Midtjylland 43.48% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 4.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Ajax 52.39% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.37%
Equal 8 11.05%
Under 8 27.58%
Over 9 49.8%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 38.63%
Over 10.5 38.7%
Under 10.5 61.3%

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 1.5 38.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.09%
Under 3.5 93.91%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 78.28% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 21.72% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 51.12% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 48.88% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 26.33% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 73.67% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 11.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 88.68% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 31.07%
Draw 23.18%
Ajax 45.71%
FC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.6%
Total : 31.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 23.18%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 45.71%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 25, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • David Neres 40' yellowcard
  • Ryan Gravenberch 47' goal
  • Noussair Mazraoui 49' goal
  • David Neres 66' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Madsen 43'
  • goal Awer Mabil 80'
  • redcard Erik Sviatchenko 90'+1'
Champions League
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT MCH Arena
  • Anders Dreyer 18' goal
  • Lasse Vibe 84' yellowcard
  • goal Antony 1'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 13'
  • yellowcard Perr Schuurs 25'