FA Cup
Sep 22, 2026 7.45pm
Truro Sports Hub

Truro City vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions

Merthyr Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Truro City win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 30.27% and a draw has a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.34%).

Result

Truro City 48.26%
Draw 21.47%
Merthyr Town 30.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.01%
Under 1.5 17.99%
Over 2.5 61.88%
Under 2.5 38.12%
Over 3.5 37.88%
Under 3.5 62.12%
Over 4.5 23.5%
Under 4.5 76.5%

First Half Winner

Truro City 36.71%
Draw 37.72%
Merthyr Town 25.56%

Team To Score First

Truro City 56.17%
No Goal 4.49%
Merthyr Town 39.34%

Corners

Over 8 65.09%
Equal 8 10.58%
Under 8 24.33%
Over 9 53.66%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 34.91%
Over 10.5 42.35%
Under 10.5 57.65%

Truro City Goals

Over 1.5 50.68%
Under 1.5 49.32%
Over 2.5 26.34%
Under 2.5 73.66%
Over 3.5 10.62%
Under 3.5 89.38%

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.89%
Under 0.5 34.11%
Over 1.5 35.67%
Under 1.5 64.33%
Over 2.5 15.06%
Under 2.5 84.94%
Over 3.5 5.59%
Under 3.5 94.41%

Score analysis

Truro City 48.27%
Draw 21.45%
Merthyr Town 30.27%
Truro City
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 10.28%
Total : 48.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 5.71%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.45%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 30.27%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • Elis Watts 81' goal
  • goal Tom Harrison 90'+5'