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Everton logo
EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
West Ham logo

Everton
4 - 1
West Ham

Calvert-Lewin (11', 78', 84'), Richarlison (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Snodgrass (46')

Preview: Everton vs. West Ham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth-round clash between Everton and West Ham United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Everton and West Ham United will both be looking to build on weekend victories in the Premier League when the two sides lock horns in Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth-round clash.

The Toffees overcame Salford City and Fleetwood Town to advance to the last 16, whereas West Ham knocked out Charlton Athletic and Hull City to set up a showdown with the Toffees.


Match preview

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on September 26, 2020© Reuters

There is certainly an air of optimism around Goodison Park at the moment, with Everton having enjoyed their best start to a league season since the 1993-94 campaign.

Carlo Ancelotti's men maintained their 100% start to the new campaign at the weekend as they overcame Crystal Palace 2-1 at Selhurst Park, but the story could have panned out differently had it not been for a controversially-awarded penalty for handball against Joel Ward.

New signings Allan, Abdoulaye Doucoure and James Rodriguez have slotted right into the Toffees team, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin has enjoyed a particularly fruitful start to the campaign with five goals thus far, and a strong run in the EFL Cup would have the Everton faithful dreaming of further success under the tutelage of Ancelotti.

The Toffees overcame Salford and Fleetwood by a combined scoreline of 8-2 to reach the fourth round of the EFL Cup, and while Everton have reached the final twice in 1977 and 1984, they are yet to lift the trophy.

Should Everton book their spot in the fifth round this week, it will mark only the fourth time since the 2010-11 season that the Toffees have advanced further than the fourth round stage, with Leicester City knocking Duncan Ferguson's side out on penalties in last season's quarter-finals.

West Ham boss David Moyes makes clear he is in charge on July 17, 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, West Ham's third-round drubbing of Hull was marred by a trio of positive coronavirus tests just before the game began, with manager David Moyes as well as Josh Cullen and Issa Diop being sent home from the London Stadium.

In spite of that health scare, the Hammers prevailed in convincing fashion against their League One opponents to advance to the fourth round in their quest for a first-ever EFL Cup triumph.

Moyes's side seem to be turning their fortunes around in the Premier League since that dismal opening-day defeat to Newcastle United - West Ham were unlucky not to get something from their game at Arsenal before trouncing Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-0 at the weekend - with Alan Irvine on the touchline while Moyes took the reins from home.

As is the case with Everton, West Ham have reached the final twice but are yet to taste success in the competition, with the capital outfit losing the 1966 and 1981 finals to West Bromwich Albion and Liverpool respectively.

West Ham will no doubt hope to record a victory here to boost their confidence heading into a daunting run of October fixtures - the Hammers must take on Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City and Liverpool all within the next five weeks.

Everton took the spoils in a 2-0 win when they welcomed West Ham to Goodison Park in the Premier League last season, and the two sides have not faced off in the EFL Cup since the 2007-08 campaign, where Moyes enjoyed a 2-1 quarter-final victory with the Toffees against his current club.

Everton EFL Cup form: WW
Everton form (all competitions): WWWWW

West Ham United EFL Cup form: WW
West Ham United form (all competitions): LWLWW


Team News

West Ham United striker Sebastien Haller pictured with teammates after scoring against Charlton Athletic on September 15, 2020© Reuters

A cup run would do both of these clubs the world of good, so the two managers are expected to name relatively strong lineups for Wednesday's encounter.

Ancelotti is still without centre-backs Jarrad Branthwaite and Mason Holgate, so Michael Keane and Yerry Mina are expected to pair up in the heart of defence once again.

Jordan Pickford has drawn criticism on several occasions this season and could see his spot for this game come under threat by Jonas Lossl, while Bernard and Gylfi Sigurdsson are among those in line to make the first XI.

As for the visitors, West Ham are set to hand a start to Ben Johnson at right-back following an injury to Ryan Fredericks in the win over Wolves.

Changes are expected up top with Sebastien Haller - who currently leads the way in the EFL top scorer charts with four strikes to his name - in line to spearhead the Hammers attack.

Andriy Yarmolenko bagged a brace in the third-round thrashing of Hull and will also look to start here, as will Felipe Anderson, who was an unused substitute against Wolves.

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Kenny, Mina, Keane, Digne; Davies, Sigurdsson, Doucoure; Iwobi, Calvert-Lewin, Bernard

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Randolph; Johnson, Balbuena, Ogbonna, Masuaku; Noble, Rice; Yarmolenko, Lanzini, Anderson; Haller


SM words green background

We say: Everton 3-1 West Ham United

West Ham supporters will be hoping that their impressive victory over Wolves will be the one that turns the corner, but the Hammers are now facing a challenging cup fixture against one of the most in-form sides in the Premier League. Changes are expected in both camps but we cannot see Everton's strong run of form ending anytime soon, so we expect Ancelotti's men to prevail and book their spot in the quarter-finals.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.


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Game History

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Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on July 9, 2020
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