Europa League
Aug 17, 2023 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bolt Arena
  • Santeri Hostikka 10' goal
  • Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan 14' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan 16' redcard
  • Topi Keskinen 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Sahruddin Mahammadaliyev 75' yellowcard
  • goal Tural Bayramov 45'+3'
  • goal Yassine Benzia 55'
  • yellowcard Sahruddin Mahammadaliyev 83'
  • yellowcard Julio Romao 85'

HJK Helsinki vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 10, 2023 5.00pm
Qarabag 2 - 1 HJK Helsinki

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 10, 2023 5.00pm
Qarabag 2 - 1 HJK Helsinki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.

Result

HJK Helsinki 35.35% (-0.90)
Draw 27.31% (-0.34)
Qarabag FK 37.35% (+1.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.9% (+1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.37% (+1.28)
Under 2.5 55.63% (-1.28)
Over 3.5 23.21% (+1.04)
Under 3.5 76.79% (-1.04)
Over 4.5 10.24% (+0.63)
Under 4.5 89.76% (-0.63)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 70.03% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 29.97% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 33.92% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 66.08% (-0.10)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 71.25% (+1.38)
Under 0.5 28.75% (-1.37)
Over 1.5 35.41% (+1.68)
Under 1.5 64.59% (-1.68)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 35.34%
Draw 27.31%
Qarabag FK 37.35%
HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.50)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.29)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.95% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.44)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
Qarabag FK
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 8.07% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 6.69% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.35% (+0.22)
0-3 @ 2.78% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.14)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-92.96)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 10, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu
  • Marko Jankovic 4' goal
  • Leandro Andrade 55' goal
  • Juninho 85' goal
  • yellowcard Bojan Radulovic 30'
  • goal Anthony Olusanya 77'