Conference League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Vilius Armanavičius 45'+1' goal
  • goal Abdourahman Badamosi 37'

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hegelmann Litauen

All competitions

Paide

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Hegelmann Litauen had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Hegelmann Litauen win was 2-1 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Hegelmann Litauen 35.45% (-0.03)
Draw 22.65% (-0.48)
Paide 41.86% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.48% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.08% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 19.92% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 58.08% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 41.92% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 35% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 65% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 21.11% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 78.89% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Hegelmann Litauen 24.84% (-0.88)
Draw 38.78% (+0.49)
Paide 36.38% (+0.41)

Team To Score First

Hegelmann Litauen 41.88% (-0.08)
No Goal 4.86% (-0.09)
Paide 53.26% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 64.82% (+1.04)
Equal 8 10.42% (-0.12)
Under 8 24.76% (-0.92)
Over 9 53.61% (+1.09)
Equal 9 11.21% (-0.05)
Under 9 35.18% (-1.04)
Over 10.5 42.53% (+1.06)
Under 10.5 57.46% (-1.07)

Hegelmann Litauen Goals

Over 1.5 38.64% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 61.36% (+0.37)
Over 2.5 16.81% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 83.19% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 5.88% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.12% (+0.14)

Paide Goals

Over 0.5 74.11% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 25.89% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 43.99% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 56.01% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 20.25% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 79.75% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.04% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.96% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Hegelmann Litauen 35.46%
Draw 22.65%
Paide 41.86%
Hegelmann Litauen
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 7.12% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.18% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.78% (-0.01)
Total : 35.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.12)
Total : 22.65%
Paide
1-2 @ 8.93% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.22% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.32% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.44% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.94% (+0.21)
Total : 41.86%