Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hegelmann Litauen win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.45% and a win for Grobiņa had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hegelmann Litauen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%) , while for a Grobiņa win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.