Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banga win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Grobiņa had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Grobiņa win was 1-0 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%).