Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 75.02%. A draw had a probability of 14.75% and a win for Grobiņa had a probability of 10.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%) , while for a Grobiņa win it was 1-2 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.