Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banga win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Grobiņa had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Grobiņa win was 1-0 (9.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.