Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hegelmann Litauen win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Be1 NFA had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hegelmann Litauen win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Be1 NFA win was 1-2 (5.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.