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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Boris Trajkovski

Shkupi
0 - 0
Hegelmann Litauen

FT

Upstas (51'), Thompson (85')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Shkupi and Hegelmann Litauen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shkupi

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Last Game: Hegelmann Litauen 0-5 Shkupi
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Hegelmann Litauen

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Last Game: Hegelmann Litauen 0-5 Shkupi
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Hegelmann Litauen had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Hegelmann Litauen win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
ShkupiDrawHegelmann Litauen
60.09% (0.103 0.1)22.08% (0.014999999999997 0.01)17.83% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.243 -0.24)47% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.227 -0.23)69.25% (0.229 0.23)
Shkupi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)15.22% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)43.87% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Hegelmann Litauen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.95% (-0.277 -0.28)40.05% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (-0.255 -0.25)76.7% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Shkupi 60.08%
    Hegelmann Litauen 17.83%
    Draw 22.08%
ShkupiDrawHegelmann Litauen
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 17.83%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 6pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Hegelmann Litauen
0-5
Shkupi
Cephas (11', 45+1', 56', 62'), Putita (23')
Feitoza Sampaio (43'), Timovski (58')