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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas

Hegelmann Litauen
0 - 5
Shkupi

FT(HT: 0-3)
Cephas (11', 45+1', 56', 62'), Putita (23')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Hegelmann Litauen and Shkupi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hegelmann Litauen

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Shkupi

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Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-0 Shkupi
Thursday, August 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hegelmann Litauen had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Hegelmann Litauen win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkupi would win this match.

Result
Hegelmann LitauenDrawShkupi
19.54% (-0.174 -0.17)23.88% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.57% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.228 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)51.88% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.138 -0.14)73.63% (0.137 0.14)
Hegelmann Litauen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (-0.285 -0.29)40.95% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (-0.255 -0.25)77.51% (0.25500000000001 0.26)
Shkupi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (0.01100000000001 0.01)18.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (0.017999999999994 0.02)49.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hegelmann Litauen 19.54%
    Shkupi 56.56%
    Draw 23.88%
Hegelmann LitauenDrawShkupi
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.54%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 12.68% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.81% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.15% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 56.56%