Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Super Nova had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%) , while for a Super Nova win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.