Club Friendlies 3
Feb 28, 2026 10.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Paide linnastaadion
  • 35' goal
  • 90' yellowcard

Paide vs Super Nova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paide

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.00am
Paide 0 - 0 Valmiera

Super Nova

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.00pm
Nomme Kalju 1 - 1 Super Nova

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Super Nova had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%) , while for a Super Nova win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Paide 69.03% (+0.02)
Draw 17.4% (-0.02)
Super Nova 13.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.68% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.45% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 14.55% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 67.31% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 32.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 46.27% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 53.73% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 32.62% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 67.38% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Paide 53.6%
Draw 32.22%
Super Nova 14.18%

Team To Score First

Paide 70.98% (+0.03)
No Goal 3.48% (-0.03)
Super Nova 25.54% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65% (+0.05)
Equal 8 9.82%
Under 8 25.18% (-0.04)
Over 9 54.41% (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.58%
Under 9 35% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 43.87% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 56.13% (-0.02)

Paide Goals

Over 1.5 69.16% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.84% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 44.4% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 55.6% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 23.89% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 76.11% (+0.02)

Super Nova Goals

Over 0.5 48.83% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 51.17% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 20.92% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 79.08% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 6.57% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 93.43% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.8% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.2% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Paide 69.02%
Draw 17.4%
Super Nova 13.58%
Paide
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.54% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 7.41% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.38% (+0.09)
Other @ 23.61% (-0.02)
Total : 69.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 17.4%
Super Nova
1-2 @ 3.46% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.44% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.52% (+0.03)
Total : 13.58%