Club Friendlies 3
Feb 21, 2026 12.00am
Paide linnastaadion

Paide vs Valmiera - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paide

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 5.30pm
Flora 3 - 1 Paide

Valmiera

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.30pm
Harju Jalgpallikool 2 - 1 Valmiera

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paide win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Valmiera has a probability of 25.42% and a draw has a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.65%) and 1-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Valmiera win is 1-2 (5.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.5%).

Result

Paide 54.56% (-0.40)
Draw 20.02% (+0.04)
Valmiera 25.42% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.02% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.19% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 13.81% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 69.35% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 30.65% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 48.5% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 51.5% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 32.5% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 67.5% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Paide 46.41%
Draw 32.15%
Valmiera 21.44%

Team To Score First

Paide 59.85% (+0.03)
No Goal 3.32% (+0.01)
Valmiera 36.83% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.83%
Equal 8 9.49% (-0.01)
Under 8 23.68% (+0.01)
Over 9 56.45%
Equal 9 10.38%
Under 9 33.17%
Over 10.5 45.96%
Under 10.5 54.04%

Paide Goals

Over 1.5 60.31% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 39.69% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 35.51% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 64.49% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 17.64% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 82.36% (+0.21)

Valmiera Goals

Over 0.5 62.43% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 37.57% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 35.19% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 64.81% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 15.27% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.73% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.45% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.55% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Paide 54.55%
Draw 20.02%
Valmiera 25.42%
Paide
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.56% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 17.14% (-0.19)
Total : 54.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.5% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.5% (-0.02)
Total : 20.02%
Valmiera
1-2 @ 5.85% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 3.99% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.11% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.08)
Other @ 4.95% (+0.05)
Total : 25.42%