Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Partizani Tirana in this match.