UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Qendra stervitore Skender Halili

Partizani Tirana
1 - 0
Valmiera

(Partizani Tirana win 3-1 on aggregate)

Cara (21' pen.)
Kocijan (9'), Atanasovski (40'), Zekolli (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jaunzems (48'), Tonisevs (78')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Partizani Tirana and Valmiera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partizani Tirana

Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-2 Roma
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Valmiera

Last Game: Valmiera 1-2 Partizani Tirana
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Partizani Tirana in this match.

Result
Partizani Tirana	Draw	Valmiera
37.72% ( -1.37)	25.29% ( -0.04)	36.99% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 56.73% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.02% (

0.26)

46.98% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.77% (

0.25)

69.23% (

-0.24)

Partizani Tirana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

-0.61)

24.48% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07% (

-0.86)

58.93% (

0.86)

Valmiera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

0.92)

24.87% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

1.26)

59.48% (

-1.26)

Score Analysis

Partizani Tirana 37.72%

Valmiera 36.99%

Draw 25.28%

Partizani Tirana	Draw	Valmiera
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.72%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.99%