UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK

Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs

Valmiera
1 - 2
Partizani Tirana

(Partizani Tirana win 3-1 on aggregate)

Gustavo (27')
Ghanem (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cara (58'), Rrapaj (76')
Sota (32'), Cara (44'), Atanasovski (45+4'), Mehmeti (71'), Grezda (78'), Zekolli (90')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Valmiera and Partizani Tirana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valmiera

Last Game: Valmiera 7-0 Tre Penne
Tuesday, August 1 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Partizani Tirana

Last Game: Partizani Tirana 4-1 Atletic Club d'Escaldes
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Partizani Tirana had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Partizani Tirana win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Valmiera	Draw	Partizani Tirana
51.22%	25.05%	23.73%

Both teams to score 50.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.02%

51.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.28%

73.71%

Valmiera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7%

20.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.34%

52.66%

Partizani Tirana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2%

36.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42%

73.58%

Score Analysis

Valmiera 51.21%

Partizani Tirana 23.73%

Draw 25.04%

Valmiera	Draw	Partizani Tirana
1-0 @ 11.9% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.73%