Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2026 5.45pm
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 8.00pm
ADO Den Haag 2 - 3 Heerenveen
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 1.30pm
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Groningen
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Adam Tahaui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for NEC has a probability of 27.1% and a draw has a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest NEC win is 1-2 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.06%).

Result

Heerenveen 50.07% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 22.83% ▲ (+0.16)
NEC 27.1% ▼ (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.34% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.31% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 19.69% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 60.08% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 39.92% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 38.31% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 3.5 61.69% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 4.5 24.84% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 4.5 75.16% ▲ (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 43.32% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 35.14% ▼ (-0.08)
NEC 21.53% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 59.51% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 5.35% ▲ (+0.19)
NEC 35.14% ▼ (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 58.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.67% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 9 47.53% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 41.44% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 37.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 62.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 51.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 48.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 28.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 71.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 86.59% ▼ (-0.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 62.42% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 37.58% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 32.03% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 1.5 67.97% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 2.5 12.41% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 87.59% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 4.02% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 95.98% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 50.08%
Draw 22.83%
NEC 27.1%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 13.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 50.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.83%
NEC
1-2 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 27.1%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Mar 22, 2026 11.15am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Goffertstadion
  • Rijk Janse 6' yellowcard
  • Tjaronn Chery 19' goal
  • Tjaronn Chery 57' goal
  • Deveron Fonville 63' yellowcard
  • Youssef El Kachati 63' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Trenskow 37'
  • goal Ringo Meerveld 45'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 66'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Hopland 77'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 77'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 77'
  • yellowcard Luca Oyen 89'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 21, 2025 1.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Ion Nicolaescu 53' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 73'
  • yellowcard Vito van Crooij 76'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 82'
  • yellowcard Basar Onal 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Vito van Crooij 3' goal
  • Bram Nuytinck 53' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 65' goal
  • yellowcard Dimitris Rallis 46'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 78'
  • yellowcard Amara Conde 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Koki Ogawa 67' goal
  • Rober 68' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'