The 25-year-old will hear the length of his ban on Thursday when a UEFA disciplinary panel meet to discuss his suspension.
"If he gets one game he's the luckiest man in the world," said Butcher.
"He's got no defence and he just has to hope Uefa are lenient. He has had red cards before and UEFA may see it as a chance to make their mark.
"I would expect at least a two-game ban. He's got previous form and UEFA will look at this and I think they will say you just can't do it."
Rooney could be banned for up to three matches, which would rule him out of all of England's group stage matches at the Euro 2012 finals in Ukraine and Poland next summer.