Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.65%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 20.48% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (5.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.