Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Molde had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.