Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.