Norwegian Eliteserien
May 16, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Intility Arena
  • Filip Thorvaldsen 6' goal
  • Elias Sørensen 20' goal
  • Elias Sørensen 20' yellowcard
  • Elias Sørensen 21' yellowcard
  • Hakon Sjatil 46' yellowcard
  • Odin Holm 64' yellowcard
  • M. Grundetjern 64' yellowcard
  • Petter Strand 83' yellowcard
  • Petter Strand 84' yellowcard
  • Fidel Brice Ambina 88' yellowcard
  • M. Grundetjern 90' goal
  • goal Daniel Karlsbakk 11'
  • goal Andreas Hansen 28'
  • yellowcard Magnar Odegaard 80'
  • yellowcard Bop Guèye 83'
  • yellowcard Noa Williams 83'
  • yellowcard Noa Williams 84'
  • yellowcard Bop Guèye 84'
  • yellowcard Eirik Wichne 90'
  • yellowcard Eirik Wichne 90'+3'

Valerenga Fotball vs Sarpsborg 08 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Valerenga Fotball

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
May 8, 2026 6.00pm
HamKam 1 - 0 Valerenga
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Carl Lange

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
May 9, 2026 1.00pm
Sarpsborg 2 - 1 Fredrikstad
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Valerenga Fotball 47.41% (-0.03)
Draw 23.14% (-0.02)
Sarpsborg 08 29.39% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.26% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.47% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.53% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 61.86% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 38.14% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 38.42% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 61.58% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 23.66% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 76.34% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Valerenga Fotball 37.63% (+0.03)
Draw 36.68% (-0.04)
Sarpsborg 08 25.69% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Valerenga Fotball 53.78% (+0.13)
No Goal 4.38% (-0.04)
Sarpsborg 08 41.84% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 74.43% (+0.44)
Equal 8 8.63% (-0.05)
Under 8 16.94% (-0.38)
Over 9 64.35% (+0.45)
Equal 9 10.08% (-0.02)
Under 9 25.57% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 53.54% (+0.43)
Under 10.5 46.46% (-0.43)

Valerenga Fotball Goals

Over 1.5 51.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.71% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.95% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.05% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.9% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.1% (-0.03)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5 66.99% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.01% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.94% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.06% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.49% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.51% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.69% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.31% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Valerenga Fotball 47.41%
Draw 23.14%
Sarpsborg 08 29.38%
Valerenga Fotball
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.6% (+0.01)
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.02)
Total : 23.14%
Sarpsborg 08
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.39% (+0.02)
Total : 29.38%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
Aug 17, 2025 6.15pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 2
Apr 6, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Sander Christiansen 66' yellowcard
  • Frederik Carstensen 77' goal
  • Niklas Sandberg 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elias Sorensen 23'
  • goal Magnus Riisnaes 45'+1'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 27
Nov 5, 2023 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Mikkel Maigaard 7' goal
  • Niklas Sandberg 30' goal
  • Mikkel Maigaard 41' goal
  • Jo Inge Berget 47' yellowcard
  • goal Andrej Ilic 26'
  • yellowcard Henrik Bjordal 35'
  • yellowcard Christian Borchgrevink 42'
  • goal Aaron Kiil Olsen 81'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2023 6.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Intility Arena
  • goal Kristian Fardal Opseth 60'
  • goal Kristian Fardal Opseth 81'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 28
Oct 29, 2022 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Vegar Eggen Hedenstad 19' goal
  • Amor Layouni 45'+2' goal
  • Vegar Eggen Hedenstad 66' goal
  • goal Simon Tibbling 4'
  • goal Mikkel Maigaard 17'
  • goal Guillermo Molins 68'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 14
Jul 17, 2022 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Amor Layouni 30'