EFL Cup
Oct 29, 2026 7.45pm
Hill Dickinson Stadium

Everton vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Newcastle United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Everton has a probability of 34.92% and a draw has a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Everton win is 2-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.26%).

Result

Everton 34.92% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 23.01%
Newcastle United 42.11% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 21.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.22%
Under 2.5 42.78%
Over 3.5 33.55%
Under 3.5 66.45%
Over 4.5 20.29%
Under 4.5 79.71%

First Half Winner

Everton 25.5%
Draw 42.44%
Newcastle United 32.06%

Team To Score First

Everton 47.32%
No Goal 5.55%
Newcastle United 47.13%

Corners

Over 8 57.67%
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 31.48%
Over 9 46.61%
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 42.33%
Over 10.5 36.22%
Under 10.5 63.78%

Everton Goals

Over 1.5 38.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.47% ▲ (+0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 74.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Everton 34.92%
Draw 23.01%
Newcastle United 42.11%
Everton
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89%
2-0 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 34.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 5.55%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.01%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-1 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.8%
Other @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 42.11%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Aug 12, 2026 5.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT St. James' Park
  • Harvey Barnes 85' goal
  • goal Thierno Barry 27'
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 36'
  • yellowcard Carlos Alcaraz 66'
  • goal Tyrique George 73'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT St. James' Park
  • Jacob Ramsey 32' goal
  • Joe Willock 46' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 56' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 56' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 75' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 82' goal
  • William Osula 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jarrad Branthwaite 19'
  • goal Beto 34'
  • yellowcard Thierno Barry 74'
  • yellowcard Harrison Armstrong 81'
  • goal Thierno Barry 83'
  • yellowcard Michael Keane 89'
Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 69' goal
  • goal Malick Thiaw 1'
  • goal Lewis Miley 25'
  • goal Nick Woltemade 45'
  • goal Malick Thiaw 58'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Fabian Schar 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 24'
  • goal Carlos Alcaraz 65'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 77'
  • yellowcard Vitaliy Mykolenko 81'
  • yellowcard James Garner 83'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Goodison Park
  • Dwight McNeil 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Hall 84'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 15' goal
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 81'
  • goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin 88'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Youssef Chermiti 90'+8'