World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Ecuador
0 - 0
Brazil

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Ecuador and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Carlo Ancelotti's first game in charge against Ecuador in World Cup qualifying on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions

Last Game: Chile 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	14	18	31
2	Ecuador	14	8	26
3	Uruguay	14	7	21
4	Brazil	14	4	21
5	Paraguay	14	2	21
6	Colombia	14	4	20
7	Venezuela	14	-4	15
8	Bolivia	14	-16	14
9	Peru	14	-11	10
10	Chile	14	-12	10

Brazil

All competitions

Last Game: Argentina 4-1 Brazil
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	14	18	31
2	Ecuador	14	8	26
3	Uruguay	14	7	21
4	Brazil	14	4	21
5	Paraguay	14	2	21
6	Colombia	14	4	20
7	Venezuela	14	-4	15
8	Bolivia	14	-16	14
9	Peru	14	-11	10
10	Chile	14	-12	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Brazil has a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Brazil win it is 0-1 (8.18%).

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Brazil
49.85% ( -0.83)	26.02% ( 0.38)	24.13% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 47.98% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.66% (

-1.05)

55.34% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.45% (

-0.86)

76.55% (

0.87)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

-0.79)

22.24% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32% (

-1.2)

55.68% (

1.21)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.7% (

-0.17)

38.29% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.95% (

-0.16)

75.05% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 49.85%

Brazil 24.13%

Draw 26.02%

Ecuador	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 24.13%