CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 10, 2024 at 9pm UK

Estadio Antonio Manuel Berruezo

Cuba
1 - 1
Nicaragua

Espino (42' pen.)
Diaz (23'), Perez Mendoza (35'), Reyes (48'), Espino (52'), Coronel (86'), Ricardo Casanova Risquet (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Talavera (90+6')
Antonio Figueroa Montero (24'), Acevedo (46'), Acevedo (48'), Medina (48'), Quijano (68'), Coronel (84'), Reyes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Cuba and Nicaragua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Cuba
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Nicaragua

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: French Guiana 0-1 Nicaragua
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.76%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Cuba win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cuba	Draw	Nicaragua
14.75% ( -0.46)	22.27% ( 0.03)	62.98% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 43.88% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.11% (

-0.92)

52.89% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.5% (

-0.79)

74.5% (

0.79)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.4% (

-1.21)

47.59% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.07% (

-0.91)

82.93% (

0.91)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

-0.17)

16.26% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.19% (

-0.32)

45.8% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Cuba 14.75%

Nicaragua 62.96%

Draw 22.26%

Cuba	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.03% Total : 14.75%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.26%	0-1 @ 14.05% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 12.76% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 7.73% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 62.96%