Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.85% and a win for Barra FC had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%) , while for a Barra FC win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.