Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 0-1 (10.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.