Copa Libertadores
Aug 19, 2026 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
  • Jhojan Valencia 48' yellowcard
  • Agustín Farías 50' yellowcard
  • goal Joaquín Correa 44'
  • yellowcard Gastón Benedetti 45'+4'
  • goal Guido Carrillo 53'
  • yellowcard Tomás Palacios 65'
  • goal Guido Carrillo 83'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Piovi 86'

Universidad Catolica vs Estudiantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Catolica

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Catolica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.65% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result

Universidad Catolica 49.64% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 25.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Estudiantes 24.74% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.88% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.6% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 30.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 43.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 56.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.4% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 76.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.87% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Universidad Catolica 40.15%
Draw 44.04%
Estudiantes 15.81%

Team To Score First

Universidad Catolica 62.99% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 9.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Estudiantes 27.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.76%
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 34.78%
Over 9 42.46%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 46.24%
Over 10.5 32.18%
Under 10.5 67.82%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 1.5 42.81% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 57.19% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 19.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.66% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 56.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 22.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 77.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.27% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Universidad Catolica 49.64%
Draw 25.64%
Estudiantes 24.74%
Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 12.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 49.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.64%
Estudiantes
0-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.74%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
  • Joaquín Tobio Burgos 4' goal
  • Baltasar Rodríguez 74' yellowcard
  • Tomás Palacios 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Zampedri 9'
  • yellowcard Cristian Cuevas 78'
  • goal Fernando Zampedri 80'