Copa Libertadores
May 28, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Jair Paula da Cunha Filho 27' redcard
  • Jair Paula da Cunha Filho 27' redcard
  • Igor Jesus 38' goal
  • Igor Jesus 38' goal
  • Cuiabano 59' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 59' yellowcard
  • John 66' yellowcard
  • John 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Gabriel Guerrero Pena 32'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Gabriel Guerrero Pena 32'
  • yellowcard Fabian Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Fabian Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Franco Calderon 88'
  • yellowcard Franco Calderon 88'
  • yellowcard Javier Altamirano 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Javier Altamirano 90'+1'

Botafogo vs Universidad de Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 15, 2025 1.30am
Botafogo 3 - 2 Estudiantes

Universidad de Chile

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 14, 2025 1.30am
Universidad 4 - 0 Carabobo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Universidad de Chile had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Universidad de Chile win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result

Botafogo 61.24% (+0.51)
Draw 20.74% (-0.40)
Universidad de Chile 18.02% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.69% (+1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.27% (+1.63)
Under 2.5 40.72% (-1.64)
Over 3.5 36.89% (+1.65)
Under 3.5 63.11% (-1.66)
Over 4.5 19.69% (+1.25)
Under 4.5 80.3% (-1.26)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 87.16% (+0.67)
Under 0.5 12.83% (-0.67)
Over 1.5 60.82% (+1.35)
Under 1.5 39.17% (-1.36)

Universidad de Chile Goals

Over 0.5 63.89% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 36.1% (-0.85)
Over 1.5 27.11% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 72.88% (-0.86)

Score analysis

Botafogo 61.24%
Draw 20.74%
Universidad de Chile 18.02%
Botafogo
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.24)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.48)
3-1 @ 6.81% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 6.68% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.47% (+0.16)
4-0 @ 3.43% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.78% (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.44% (+0.11)
5-0 @ 1.41% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 61.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.36)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.74%
Universidad de Chile
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 18.02%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
  • Leandro Fernandez 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Di Yorio 59' goal
  • Matias Sepulveda 75' yellowcard
  • Charles Aranguiz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Guerra 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick de Paula 26'
  • yellowcard Gregore 47'
  • yellowcard Jeffinho 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 90'+5'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 90'+6'