CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 14, 2026 2.00am

Guatemala vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Canada

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guatemala win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Canada has a probability of 34.56% and a draw has a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Canada win is 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.62%).

Result

Guatemala 38.75%
Draw 26.66%
Canada 34.56% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 29.04%
Under 3.5 70.96%
Over 4.5 16.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.41% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Guatemala 27.63%
Draw 47.83%
Canada 24.54%

Team To Score First

Guatemala 51.7%
No Goal 7.4%
Canada 40.9%

Corners

Over 8 47.79%
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 40.59%
Over 9 36.83%
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 52.21%
Over 10.5 27.29%
Under 10.5 72.71%

Guatemala Goals

Over 1.5 38.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 68.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 31.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Guatemala 38.76%
Draw 26.67%
Canada 34.55%
Guatemala
1-0 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.67%
Canada
0-1 @ 8.26%
1-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.54%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 34.55%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 18, 2026 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • Ralph Priso 21' yellowcard
  • Jeevan Singh Badwal 64' yellowcard
  • Tiago de Freitas Guimarães Coimbra 64' yellowcard
  • Malik Henry 64' yellowcard
  • Tiago Coimbra 64' yellowcard
  • Jeevan Badwal 64' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 66' goal
  • Noah Abraham Sewonet Abatneh 70' yellowcard
  • Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 70' yellowcard
  • N. Abatneh 70' yellowcard
  • Matteo de Brienne 81' yellowcard
  • Luka Gavran 81' yellowcard
  • Marius Aiyenero 81' yellowcard
  • Matteo de Brienne 82' yellowcard
  • Matteo de Brienne 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolás Samayoa 26'
  • yellowcard Jose Mario Rosales Marroquin 46'
  • yellowcard Matthew Dominic Evans Wolff 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Alexander Ramírez López 46'
  • yellowcard Damien Rivera 46'
  • yellowcard J. Rosales 46'
  • yellowcard M. Evans 46'
  • yellowcard K. Ramírez 46'
  • yellowcard D. Rivera 46'
  • yellowcard Jefry Leonardo Bantes Rodriguez 71'
  • yellowcard J. Bantes 71'
  • yellowcard José Rosales 72'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 29, 2025 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 2, 2023 2.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
International Friendlies
Jan 23, 2022 12.00am